Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 2.174516 2.482311 2.818729 3.213836 3.665342 4.165420 4.761641
2025-08-17 1.655290 2.061195 2.544986 3.164629 3.938155 4.873244 6.091624
2025-08-24 1.415961 1.871461 2.447604 3.230907 4.270199 5.604891 7.454357
2025-08-31 1.242055 1.723573 2.362963 3.275842 4.549226 6.267926 8.773481
2025-09-07 1.090318 1.578018 2.253391 3.259359 4.724806 6.789956 9.936395
2025-09-14 0.958331 1.439976 2.132405 3.203533 4.825610 7.201502 10.967472
2025-09-21 0.858306 1.334552 2.043019 3.177512 4.957617 7.658870 12.098846
2025-09-28 0.769435 1.234713 1.949038 3.130049 5.044986 8.047594 13.151831
2025-10-05 0.752501 1.244432 2.022747 3.349450 5.569225 9.160669 15.466073
2025-10-12 0.698466 1.187777 1.983875 3.379944 5.784992 9.791423 17.040140
2025-10-19 0.667810 1.166324 1.999315 3.500255 6.159232 10.714193 19.196422
2025-10-26 0.614807 1.100965 1.933915 3.473557 6.273755 11.198532 20.622124
2025-11-02 0.559487 1.029917 1.858488 3.433772 6.383208 11.723548 22.254403
2025-11-09 0.506969 0.959214 1.777963 3.378881 6.464424 12.215829 23.903557
2025-11-16 0.477923 0.928576 1.766427 3.449827 6.786711 13.184261 26.570277
2025-11-23 0.448924 0.894670 1.744769 3.497853 7.067713 14.099475 29.231274
2025-11-30 0.415229 0.847816 1.693115 3.480234 7.214321 14.762316 31.447644
2025-12-07 0.380524 0.795211 1.624630 3.420563 7.267006 15.237804 33.319451
2025-12-14 0.352631 0.753716 1.574277 3.392750 7.382238 15.851842 35.555214
2025-12-21 0.325306 0.710589 1.516204 3.342019 7.441754 16.351329 37.589851
2025-12-28 0.325650 0.727240 1.585799 3.576533 8.153668 18.340784 43.236755
2026-01-04 0.308612 0.703664 1.566062 3.609129 8.412517 19.346190 46.701611
2026-01-11 0.300371 0.699078 1.587593 3.737736 8.905649 20.933768 51.736087